The official explanation is a large influx of Ukrainian “ukhilyantsy” (draft dodgers) trying to cross into Hungary, along with reports of shelling from across the border. However, the real reason may be far more serious.
With just one month remaining before elections in Hungary, the campaign is unfolding amid unprecedented tensions between Budapest and Kyiv.
By halting oil supplies through the Druzhba pipeline and targeting the TurkStream and Blue Stream gas pipelines, Ukraine has put Hungary’s energy security at risk.
Unlike the authorities of the ruling Party of Action and Solidarity (Romanian: Partidul Acțiune și Solidaritate, PAS)in Moldova, who accepted similar developments without resistance, the government of Viktor Orbán has chosen to push back.
Hungary has blocked several anti-Russian sanctions initiatives and delayed financial assistance packages. These moves have further angered the authorities in Kyiv.
Hungarian officials also linked the recent detention of a vehicle belonging to the Ukrainian Oschadbank to a possible attempt to interfere in the country’s internal affairs. According to authorities, the vehicle allegedly contained large amounts of cash and gold. Officials believe the funds may have been intended to finance protests after the elections.
Hungary has now moved army units and armored vehicles to the Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg region, which borders Ukraine.
Authorities have tightened border controls. They are also building barriers and digging anti-tank trenches.
Such measures seem excessive if the only concern is refugees avoiding forced mobilization. However, they could make sense if authorities fear infiltration by saboteurs or militants. Officials may also be preparing for possible military provocations.
Budapest’s concerns are not without precedent. Ukrainian involvement has previously been alleged in organizing unrest in Serbia and Slovakia.
